TIME Poll: Among likely voters, 52% would vote for President George Bush, while 41% would vote for John Kerry and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader
Friday, Sep. 03, 2004
New York: For the first time since the Presidential race became a two person contest last spring, there is a clear leader, the latest TIME poll shows. If the 2004 election for President were held today, 52% of likely voters surveyed would vote for President George W. Bush, 41% would vote for Democratic nominee John Kerry, and 3% would vote for Ralph Nader, according to a new TIME poll conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 2. Poll results are available on TIME.com and will appear in the upcoming issue of TIME magazine, on newsstands Monday, Sept. 6.
Most important issues: When asked what they consider are the most important issues, 25% of registered voters cited the economy as the top issue, followed by 24% who cited the war on terrorism as the top issue. The situation in Iraq was rated the top issue by 17% of registered voters, moral values issues such as gay marriage and abortion were the top issue for 16% of respondents, and health care was the most important issue for 11% of respondents.
Bush vs. Kerry:
The economy: 47% trust President Bush more to handle the economy, while 45% trust Kerry.
Health care: 48% trust Senator Kerry to handle health care issues, while 42% trust Bush.
Iraq: 53% trust Bush to handle the situation in Iraq, while 41% trust Kerry.
Terrorism: 57% trust Bush to handle the war on terrorism, while 36% trust Kerry.
Understanding the needs of people: 47% said they trust Kerry to understand the needs of people like themselves, while 44% trusted Bush to understand their needs.
Providing strong leadership: 56% said they trust Bush to provide strong leadership in difficult times, while 37% said they trust Kerry to provide leadership in difficult times.
Tax policy: 49% trust Bush to handle tax policy, while 40% trust Kerry.
Commanding the Armed Forces: 54% said they trust Bush to be commander-in-chief of the armed forces, while 39% said they trust Kerry.
Bush on the Issues:
Iraq: Half (50%) of those surveyed approve of the way President Bush is handling the situation in Iraq, while 46% disapprove. In last week’s TIME poll, 48% approved of the way Bush was handling the situation in Iraq and 48% disapproved.
Terrorism: Almost two thirds (59%) said they approve of how President Bush is handling the war on terrorism, while 38% disapprove. Last week’s TIME poll found 55% approved of Bush’s handling of the war on terrorism, while 40% disapproved.
The Economy: Survey respondents were split on the President’s handling of the economy. Almost half (48%) said the approved of Bush’s handling of the economy, while 48% said the disapproved.
Other results include:
Was U.S. Right Going to War with Iraq? Over half of those surveyed (52%) think the U.S. was right in going to war with Iraq, while 41% think the U.S. was wrong to go to war.
Have the United States’ actions in Iraq made the world safer? Almost half (45%) think the United States’ actions in Iraq have made the world safer, while 45% think the world is more dangerous. In a similar TIME poll taken Aug. 3 – 5, over half (52%) said the world was more dangerous, and 38% said the world was safer.
posted on September 3, 2004 05:23:56 PM new
Always GREAT news to read.
I wonder how much of this 'lift' is due to the Swift Boat Vets actions. Mainly because I've read that we really wouldn't be seeing a 'bounce' from the convention for approximately one week, if there was to be one at all. But after watching the convention, I just KNEW there was going to be a bounce of some kind. It was very positive.
So maybe there's even more good news coming down the road.
posted on September 3, 2004 06:19:44 PM newAlways GREAT news to read
"Always"??...how 'bout "finally", or "at last"?
It's just a silly poll...you've all been saying that for months, now all of a sudden this one means something...Laughing Out Loud
___________________________________
Our `neoconservatives' are neither new nor conservative, but old as Bablyon
and evil as Hell." --Edward Abbey
[ edited by profe51 on Sep 3, 2004 06:20 PM ]
posted on September 3, 2004 08:15:43 PM new how stupid can you lemmings be???this happens at just about every election right after the last convention. don't celebrate too long, it won't last.
DIDN'T HAPPEN FOR KERRY THOUGH DID IT
You are DANGEROUSLY UNDER-MEDICATED gumby.
"[John Kerry] also recently said that he doesn't want to use the word 'war' to describe our efforts to fight terrorism. Well, I don't want to use the words 'commander in chief' to describe John Kerry." --Maryland Lt. Gov. Michael Steele
posted on September 4, 2004 06:51:45 AM new
Zogby had bush with a 2 point increase, and another poll shows a tie. The only polls that count are the state polls.....zogby is supposed to release a new set real soon.
posted on September 4, 2004 07:13:36 AM new
I can't believe that anyone with any intelligence puts their faith in polls. Polls can be easily manipulated. Want it to appear Bush is in the lead? Conduct the poll in areas with known high concentration of Bush supporters. Want Kerry to be in the lead? Poll areas with a large concentration of working class. Heck, if they wanted to, they could put Nader somewhere near the top although putting him at the top would be a stretch even for the most experienced of polling professionals. I took polls for a job fresh out of high school. I should know a lot of the tricks of the trade. Why, for heaven's sake, do you think a liberal poll shows a different result from a necon poll?
Polls mean nothing, zilch, nada, squat. So who's weeping?
Cheryl
. . .if you still try to defend the infamies and horrors perpetrated by that Antichrist- I really believe he is Antichrist- I will have nothing more to do with you and you are no longer my friend.. . - War and Peace, Tolstoy
[ edited by CBlev65252 on Sep 4, 2004 07:14 AM ]
posted on September 4, 2004 07:30:38 AM new
"I can't believe that anyone with any intelligence puts their faith in polls."
I don't know how this poll was run, but don't bet your life against the scientific pollsters like Gallup. Their methodology and demographics are semi-secret, but they are frequently accurate to within tenths of the actual result.
posted on September 4, 2004 07:36:32 AM new
desquirrel
I'm talking about presidential polls in general. For one, people can change their minds at any given moment. People can be untruthful. I was once to a pollster taking a poll about cars. It shortened the length of the poll and got me off the phone.
They poll so few people, I wouldn't put any stock into it.
Cheryl
. . .if you still try to defend the infamies and horrors perpetrated by that Antichrist- I really believe he is Antichrist- I will have nothing more to do with you and you are no longer my friend.. . - War and Peace, Tolstoy
posted on September 4, 2004 08:32:57 AM new
From what I heard this Times poll were *concluded* BEFORE our President gave his speech at the convention. So it doesn't include any 'bounce' that may come as a result of his speech.
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profe - My position on the polls hasn't changed. I'm just happy to see his numbers are going up.
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"One thing is for sure: the extremists have faith in our weakness. And the weaker we are, the more they will come after us." --Tony Blair
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"The War on Terror will not be won until America is united. And as long as Democrats target the Bush administration -- not the terrorists -- as the enemy, we are in trouble." --Oliver North
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Those are only two reasons why we need to:
posted on September 4, 2004 11:30:25 AM new
Another poll site I watch that's updated daily...both on their combination of polls and their view of where the electoral college is at any given point.
It's lookin' good, for the President, there now too.
posted on September 4, 2004 12:08:59 PM new
One lesson I learned in 1992 is not to pay any attention to the polls. Bush Sr. soared until the convention faded away.......and the rest is history.
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
"One thing is for sure: the extremists have faith in our weakness. And the weaker we are, the more they will come after us." --Tony Blair
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
"The War on Terror will not be won until America is united. And as long as Democrats target the Bush administration -- not the terrorists -- as the enemy, we are in trouble." --Oliver North
~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~
Those are only two reasons why we need to:
posted on September 5, 2004 08:13:42 AM newIt's just a silly poll...
LOL coming from the person who posts more polls than anyone else... must make you disheartend to see that lying traitor going down...
Polls are silly because they can be manipulated so easily... and this is no different... however for those looking for good things this does bode well for President Bush...
